Please don’t leave if you are not an impostor!
The probability of being an impostor
The probability of being an impostor at least once in N matches.
One impostor:
Matches | Probability, (%) |
1 | 10% |
2 | 19% |
3 | 27.1% |
4 | 34.39% |
5 | 40.95% |
10 | 65.13% |
15 | 79.41% |
20 | 87.84% |
25 | 92.82% |
Two impostors:
Matches | Probability, (%) |
1 | 20% |
2 | 36% |
3 | 48.8% |
4 | 59.04% |
5 | 67.23% |
10 | 89.26% |
15 | 96.48% |
20 | 98.85% |
25 | 99.62% |
Three impostors:
Matches | Probability, (%) |
1 | 30% |
2 | 51% |
3 | 65.7% |
4 | 75.99% |
5 | 83.19% |
10 | 97.18% |
15 | 99.52% |
20 | 99.92% |
25 | 99.99% |
Written by Beholder
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